Combat Edge Intelligence

Iwo Baraniewski vs Jason Brilz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Brilz
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Jason Brilz

“The Hitman”

23-6-1Light HeavyweightDCS

1714Good

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record23-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Aligatores Fight ClubTeamElite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1711
If they win+24→ 1735
If they lose-24→ 1687
Jason BrilzNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

15.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
71%
Strike accuracy
40%
14.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
47%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
2.37
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
100%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
1.29

Trajectory

Iwo BaraniewskiJason Brilz
1550160016501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
2 (22%)
Submission
8 (35%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwo Baraniewski70%
Jason Brilz 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 70% favorite over Jason Brilz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Brilz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1714), separated by just 3 points.

Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.