Iwo Baraniewski vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0 Record 20-7-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'0" Height 6'3"
73" Reach 78"
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Aligatores Fight Club Team Gintas Combat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1735
If they lose-24→ 1687
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iwo Baraniewski Modestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski60%
Modestas Bukauskas40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 60% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1707), separated by just 4 points.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Iwo Baraniewski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 70%.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.