Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Della Maddalena vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record24-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Scrappy MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack Della MaddalenaNow 1777
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761
Rustam KhabilovNow 1785
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
52%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
64%
Strike defense
66%
0.16
Takedown avg.
3.95
11%
Takedown accuracy
42%
69%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Jack Della MaddalenaRustam Khabilov
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (21%)
4 (22%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Della Maddalena62%
Rustam Khabilov 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 62% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Khabilov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1785), separated by just 8 points.

Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Della Maddalena finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.