Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Grant vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Rowe
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Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight MinistryTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack GrantNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Phil RoweNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Jack GrantPhil Rowe
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
10 (48%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (5%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Grant53%
Phil Rowe 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 53% favorite over Phil Rowe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Rowe's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Grant finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Phil Rowe carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.