Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Grant vs Rory Markham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record17-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight177 lbs
Fight MinistryTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack GrantNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Rory MarkhamNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
22%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.27
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jack GrantRory Markham
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
10 (48%)
Submission
5 (29%)
1 (5%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Grant66%
Rory Markham 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 66% favorite over Rory Markham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Grant finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Rory Markham 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.