Jack Hermansson vs Jay Hieron
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record23-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonJay Hieron
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson66%
Jay Hieron 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 66% favorite over Jay Hieron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1720), separated by just 1 points.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jay Hieron enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jay Hieron 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.