Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackie Lee vs Leonardo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
195 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

Jackie Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jackie LeeNow 1470
If they win+21→ 1491
If they lose-27→ 1443
Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1432
If they win+18→ 1450
If they lose-14→ 1418

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1480 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jackie LeeLeonardo Guimaraes
140014501998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackie Lee66%
Leonardo Guimaraes 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackie Lee a 66% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Jackie Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1432, a 38-point edge.

Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.