Combat Edge Intelligence

Jacob Rosales vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
CSWTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jacob RosalesNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
10.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
44%
Strike defense
49%
1.12
Takedown avg.
0
18%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
40%
0.56
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jacob RosalesKyle Prepolec
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
2 (13%)
Submission
4 (22%)
6 (40%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Rosales66%
Kyle Prepolec 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Rosales a 66% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jacob Rosales finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Jacob Rosales carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.