Combat Edge Intelligence

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Ruslan Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78,0"
259 lbsWeight249 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
52%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
0.33
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
72%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jairzinho RozenstruikRuslan Magomedov
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (87%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (13%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jairzinho Rozenstruik58%
Ruslan Magomedov 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 58% favorite over Ruslan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1697), separated by just 6 points.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.