Combat Edge Intelligence

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
259 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jairzinho RozenstruikSergey Bilostenniy
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (87%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Bilostenniy71%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 71% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1708), separated by just 5 points.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.