Jake Ellenberger vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-15-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
39,5"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Reign MMATeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake EllenbergerMax Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Griffin66%
Jake Ellenberger 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 66% favorite over Jake Ellenberger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1669), separated by just 4 points.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.