Jake Ellenberger vs Shido Boris Esperanca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-15-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Reign MMATeamReborn Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake EllenbergerShido Boris Esperanca
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shido Boris Esperanca70%
Jake Ellenberger 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shido Boris Esperanca a 70% favorite over Jake Ellenberger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Ellenberger's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1663), separated by just 2 points.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shido Boris Esperanca enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jake Ellenberger finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperanca 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.