Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake McHugh vs Rodolfo Rubio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record19-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake McHughNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Rodolfo RubioNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jake McHughRodolfo Rubio
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
2 (50%)
Submission
13 (68%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake McHugh62%
Rodolfo Rubio 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake McHugh a 62% favorite over Rodolfo Rubio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodolfo Rubio's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1551), separated by just 6 points.

Jake McHugh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Rubio 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.