Jake O'Brien vs Uran Satybaldiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake O'BrienUran Satybaldiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uran Satybaldiev64%
Jake O'Brien 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 64% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake O'Brien's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1686), separated by just 6 points.
Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jake O'Brien finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.