Jake Paul vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
71" Reach-
191 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Jake Paul carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1437
If they lose-19→ 1389
If they win+19→ 1497
If they lose-29→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jake PaulRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw70%
Jake Paul 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 70% favorite over Jake Paul in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1408, a 70-point edge.
Jake Paul finishes 58% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.