Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake Woodley vs Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jake WoodleyNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Mariusz KsiazkiewiczNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Jake WoodleyMariusz Ksiazkiewicz
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (13%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Woodley67%
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 67% favorite over Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1634), separated by just 2 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jake Woodley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.