Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamall Emmers vs Nik Bagley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nik Bagley

Nik Bagley

“The Perfectionist”

10-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

22-8-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamall EmmersNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Nik BagleyNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.45
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jamall EmmersNik Bagley
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
3 (14%)
Submission
7 (70%)
10 (45%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nik Bagley79%
Jamall Emmers 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nik Bagley a 79% favorite over Jamall Emmers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamall Emmers's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Jamall Emmers enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nik Bagley enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Jamall Emmers finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nik Bagley 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.