James Bochnovic vs Ryan Loder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
45,5"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamApex Wrestling Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James BochnovicRyan Loder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Loder61%
James Bochnovic 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 61% favorite over James Bochnovic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1590), separated by just 2 points.
Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Bochnovic finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.