Combat Edge Intelligence

James Bochnovic vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
45,5"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James BochnovicNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
27%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
21%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
0%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James BochnovicTafon Nchukwi
1550160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
9 (90%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Tafon Nchukwi55%
James Bochnovic 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tafon Nchukwi a 55% favorite over James Bochnovic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Bochnovic's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.

James Bochnovic finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.