Combat Edge Intelligence

James Gabert vs Marek Bartl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record17-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
178 lbsWeight179 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamJiuJitsu Academy Bratislava

What's at stake

Marek Bartl is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — James Gabert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James GabertNow 1508
If they win+17→ 1525
If they lose-15→ 1493
Marek BartlNow 1524
If they win+11→ 1535
If they lose-13→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James GabertMarek Bartl
1450150015501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
2 (33%)
Submission
6 (35%)
3 (50%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Bartl60%
James Gabert 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Bartl a 60% favorite over James Gabert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Marek Bartl holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1508, a 16-point edge.

James Gabert enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Gabert finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marek Bartl 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.