Combat Edge Intelligence

James Gallagher vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-8-1FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record18-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
64"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James GallagherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1659
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.51
TBD
Takedown accuracy
54%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

James GallagherKai Kamaka III
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
9 (75%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (25%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kamaka III67%
James Gallagher 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kamaka III a 67% favorite over James Gallagher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.

James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Kai Kamaka III carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.