Combat Edge Intelligence

James Gallagher vs Sebastian Szalay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
64"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFreestyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James GallagherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Sebastian SzalayNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
85%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James GallagherSebastian Szalay
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
9 (75%)
Submission
1 (10%)
3 (25%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Sebastian Szalay60%
James Gallagher 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Szalay a 60% favorite over James Gallagher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Gallagher's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1656), separated by just 2 points.

James Gallagher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.

Sebastian Szalay carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.