Combat Edge Intelligence

James Krause vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Krause
us

James Krause

“The James Krause”

28-8-0WelterweightUFC

1713Good

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'8"
73,5"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James KrauseNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.96
Takedown avg.
1.95
18%
Takedown accuracy
36%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

James KrauseRafael dos Anjos
17001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
14 (50%)
Submission
11 (34%)
6 (21%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

James Krause67%
Rafael dos Anjos 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Krause a 67% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1713), separated by just 0 points.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Krause finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

James Krause carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.