Combat Edge Intelligence

James Llontop vs Justin Wilcox

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Wilcox
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Justin Wilcox

“The Silverback”

14-7-0LightweightBFC

1632Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'6"
73″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team FFCTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James LlontopNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Justin WilcoxNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James LlontopJustin Wilcox
165017002012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (43%)
Decision
10 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

James Llontop52%
Justin Wilcox 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes James Llontop a 52% favorite over Justin Wilcox in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Wilcox's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.

James Llontop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Llontop finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Justin Wilcox 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.