Combat Edge Intelligence

James McSweeney vs Joe Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Schilling
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Joe Schilling

“Stitch 'Em Up”

4-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1462Average

Tale of the tape

15-18-0Record4-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
248 lbsWeight205 lbs
McSweeney Martial ArtsTeamThe Yard Muay Thai

What's at stake

James McSweeney is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James McSweeneyNow 1486
If they win+11→ 1497
If they lose-13→ 1473
Joe SchillingNow 1462
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.05
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James McSweeneyJoe Schilling
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Schilling72%
James McSweeney 28%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 72% favorite over James McSweeney in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James McSweeney's way (47%).

James McSweeney holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1486 to 1462, a 24-point edge.

James McSweeney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James McSweeney finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Schilling 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.