James Thompson vs Łukasz Brzeski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
260 lbsWeight236 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamNKSW Holy Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
If they win+15→ 1550
If they lose-17→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James ThompsonŁukasz Brzeski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Łukasz Brzeski70%
James Thompson 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Brzeski a 70% favorite over James Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1535), separated by just 14 points.
James Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Thompson finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.