James Thompson vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
260 lbsWeight242 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James ThompsonPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani70%
James Thompson 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 70% favorite over James Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1529), separated by just 8 points.
James Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Thompson finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.