James Toney vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
237 lbsWeight242 lbs
M-1 Global Training CenterTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
Patrick Vespaziani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — James Toney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1515
If they lose-21→ 1467
If they win+14→ 1543
If they lose-18→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James ToneyPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani75%
James Toney 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 75% favorite over James Toney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Patrick Vespaziani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1488, a 41-point edge.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.