Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Siraj vs Luan Lacerda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Siraj
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Jamie Siraj

“The Gremlin”

14-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1655Good

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pinnacle Combat Martial Arts AcademyTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie SirajNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Luan LacerdaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.07
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.26
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Jamie SirajLuan Lacerda
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (50%)
Submission
11 (85%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Siraj51%
Luan Lacerda 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Siraj a 51% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1652), separated by just 3 points.

Jamie Siraj finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.

Luan Lacerda carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.