Combat Edge Intelligence

Jan Błachowicz vs Wanderlei Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-11-0Record35-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jan BłachowiczNow 1748
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Wanderlei SilvaNow 1751
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1765 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
50%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.65
52%
Strike defense
60%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.32
31%
Takedown accuracy
50%
69%
Takedown defense
63%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Jan BłachowiczWanderlei Silva
175020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
27 (77%)
9 (31%)
Submission
1 (3%)
11 (38%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jan Błachowicz67%
Wanderlei Silva 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 67% favorite over Wanderlei Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wanderlei Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1751), separated by just 3 points.

Wanderlei Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Wanderlei Silva 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.