Jared Gooden vs Lewis Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'10"
77"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight174 lbs
X3 SportsTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GoodenLewis Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gooden60%
Lewis Gonzalez 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gooden a 60% favorite over Lewis Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lewis Gonzalez 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.