Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Rosholt vs Lazar Todev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1664Good

Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record14-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
41,0"Reach-
240 lbsWeight241 lbs
Team TakedownTeamTiger Sportakademie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared RosholtNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Lazar TodevNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jared RosholtLazar Todev
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (7%)
12 (60%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazar Todev63%
Jared Rosholt 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 63% favorite over Jared Rosholt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jared Rosholt finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Lazar Todev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.