Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Vanderaa vs Mark Godbeer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Godbeer

Mark Godbeer

“The Hand of”

13-5-0HeavyweightACA

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach44,0"
259 lbsWeight245 lbs
Team QuestTeamScottish Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared VanderaaNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Mark GodbeerNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.96
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
45%
Strike defense
54%
0.18
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
20%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jared VanderaaMark Godbeer
15501600165020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
6 (35%)
Submission
2 (17%)
3 (18%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jared Vanderaa and Mark Godbeer within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.

Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mark Godbeer 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.