Jared Vanderaa vs Pedro Otavio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record19-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
259 lbsWeight243 lbs
Team QuestTeamAcademia Budokan Luta Livre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaPedro Otavio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Vanderaa58%
Pedro Otavio 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Vanderaa a 58% favorite over Pedro Otavio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Otavio 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.