Jared Vanderaa vs Wade Shipp
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
259 lbsWeight240 lbs
Team QuestTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaWade Shipp
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wade Shipp60%
Jared Vanderaa 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Wade Shipp a 60% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1589), separated by just 4 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Wade Shipp 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.