Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Blackford vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record29-23-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason BlackfordNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Jason BlackfordJeremy Stephens
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
3 (100%)
Submission
2 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jason Blackford and Jeremy Stephens within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1551), separated by just 2 points.

Jason Blackford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Blackford finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.