Jason Fairn vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight262 lbs
Fairn Jiu-JitsuTeamCM System
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1484
If they lose-20→ 1436
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason FairnMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel61%
Jason Fairn 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 61% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1456, a 65-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jason Fairn finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.