Jason McLean vs Shane Mullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Shane Mullen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jason McLean carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 63% favorite over Jason McLean in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Shane Mullen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1483, a 17-point edge.
Jason McLean enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jason McLean finishes 33% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.