Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Riley vs Marc Doussis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Riley
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Jason Riley

“The Juggernaut”

10-8-0HeavyweightJDFS

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach75.6"
245 lbsWeight256 lbs
Buckeye MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason RileyNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Marc DoussisNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason RileyMarc Doussis
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Doussis60%
Jason Riley 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Doussis a 60% favorite over Jason Riley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1566), separated by just 6 points.

Jason Riley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jason Riley finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Marc Doussis 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.