Jason Saggo vs Mike Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamFusion X-Cel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoMike Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Davis70%
Jason Saggo 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 70% favorite over Jason Saggo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1677), separated by just 2 points.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.
Jason Saggo and Mike Davis share 1 common opponent: Gilbert Burns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.