Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Witt vs Matt Schnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Witt
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Jason Witt

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

19-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
180 lbsWeight135 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason WittNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
52%
Strike defense
55%
6.90
Takedown avg.
0.60
48%
Takedown accuracy
45%
100%
Takedown defense
43%
0.92
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Jason WittMatt Schnell
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
8 (44%)
Submission
9 (56%)
7 (39%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Schnell66%
Jason Witt 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Schnell a 66% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1606), separated by just 9 points.

Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.