Jason Witt vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach70"
180 lbsWeight165 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason WittPedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho70%
Jason Witt 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 70% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1608), separated by just 11 points.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.