Combat Edge Intelligence

Javier Reyes vs Shane Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javier ReyesNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Shane CollinsNow 1675
If they win+24→ 1699
If they lose-24→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.91
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Javier ReyesShane Collins
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (17%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Collins53%
Javier Reyes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Collins a 53% favorite over Javier Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Javier Reyes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1675), separated by just 0 points.

Shane Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Javier Reyes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.

Javier Reyes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.