Jay Hieron vs Tahir Abdullayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record20-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPhuket Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jay HieronTahir Abdullayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tahir Abdullayev79%
Jay Hieron 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tahir Abdullayev a 79% favorite over Jay Hieron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Hieron's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.
Jay Hieron enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tahir Abdullayev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jay Hieron finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tahir Abdullayev 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.