Jay Jay Wilson vs Tofiq Musayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamOrion Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jay Jay WilsonTofiq Musayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jay Jay Wilson60%
Tofiq Musayev 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 60% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tofiq Musayev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1706), separated by just 2 points.
Jay Jay Wilson finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 87%.
Jay Jay Wilson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.