Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Do Santos vs Michael McBride

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach75,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Heioxo MMA ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean Do SantosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Michael McBrideNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.85
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Jean Do SantosMichael McBride
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
8 (100%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Do Santos60%
Michael McBride 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Do Santos a 60% favorite over Michael McBride in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael McBride enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean Do Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Michael McBride 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.