Jean-Francois Lenogue vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-17-3Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1481
If they lose-12→ 1457
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jean-Francois LenogueMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior58%
Jean-Francois Lenogue 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 58% favorite over Jean-Francois Lenogue in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jean-Francois Lenogue's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1467), separated by just 2 points.
Jean-Francois Lenogue enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jean-Francois Lenogue finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.