Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Matsumoto vs Jimmie Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record23-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean MatsumotoNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Jimmie RiveraNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1739 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.03
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
48%
Strike defense
60%
3
Takedown avg.
0.88
49%
Takedown accuracy
28%
56%
Takedown defense
93%
0.53
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Jean MatsumotoJimmie Rivera
1750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
6 (33%)
Submission
2 (9%)
9 (50%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean Matsumoto83%
Jimmie Rivera 17%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 83% favorite over Jimmie Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jimmie Rivera's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1758), separated by just 4 points.

Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jimmie Rivera 26%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.