Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeff Newton vs Jesse Murray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Murray
us

Jesse Murray

“Hollywood”

10-6-0Light HeavyweightAFP

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
204 lbsWeight206 lbs
Todd Medina Freestyle TeamTeamStrongstyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeff NewtonNow 1542
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-23→ 1519
Jesse MurrayNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
20%
Strike accuracy
29%
1.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.72
52%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
8.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeff NewtonJesse Murray
150015502004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (50%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jeff Newton and Jesse Murray within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1550), separated by just 8 points.

Jeff Newton finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Murray 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.