Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeka Saragih vs Richie Smullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeka Saragih
id

Jeka Saragih

“Si Tendangan Maut”

14-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record15-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Batam Fighter ClubTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeka SaragihNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Richie SmullenNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
50%
Strike accuracy
78%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
41%
Strike defense
65%
2.21
Takedown avg.
8.49
80%
Takedown accuracy
67%
66%
Takedown defense
0%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jeka SaragihRichie Smullen
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
4 (29%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Richie Smullen60%
Jeka Saragih 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Richie Smullen a 60% favorite over Jeka Saragih in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Jeka Saragih enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeka Saragih finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.

Richie Smullen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.